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EU pushing for October agreement – Reuters

on 21 September 2018, in News
According to Reuters, the European Union is beginning to push hard for a Brexit agreement to be finalized by October of this year, or else the UK risks facing a messy exit process. Key highlights On Thursday the EU warned UK Prime Minister Theresa May that if she doesn’t begin giving up more ground on
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GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Guppy breaking into 4-month highs

on 20 September 2018, in News
The GBP/JPY pairing is challenging a four-month high at the 150.00 major handle, and a continued bull-run will see the Guppy on pace to break through April’s highs as well, though a bearish correction could be likely in the current zone, having already been rejected from the 149.00 – 150.00 zone twice before. Support for
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New Zealand Visitor Arrivals (YoY): 5.4% (August) vs 1.4%

on 20 September 2018, in News
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More impressive data from UK economy: retail sales beat expectations – TDS

on 20 September 2018, in News
Analysts at TD Securities explained that GBP August retail sales (ex-fuel) surprised to the upside at +0.3% (mkt: -0.2%, TD: 0.0%) on the back of upward revisions. Key Quotes: “Sales were solid in the core ex-food measure (+1.2%) whereas food stores and clothing/footwear corrected.” “Overall the August release indicates continued momentum into Q3 after the
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A top in NZD/USD to come soon – AmpGFX

on 20 September 2018, in News
With respect to the NZ economy, Greg Gibbs, Founder, Analyst, & PM at Amplifying Global FX Capital Pty Ltd, an Australian financial services company explained that Q2 was a good quarter after a lacklustre three quarters.   Key Quotes: “Government spending is starting to kick in and may help support the economy, but business activity and
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China cutting tariffs on a number of imports from most of its trading partners – ANZ

on 20 September 2018, in News
Analysts at ANZ Bank New Zealand Limited explained that China is reportedly planning to cut tariffs on a number of imports from most of its trading partners from as early as October. Key Quotes: “This is a move that should not only prop up Chinese domestic consumption (in the face of rising import prices) but could also
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NZD/USD: bulls in charge on dollar's sell-off, risk-on

on 20 September 2018, in News
NZD/USD: strong Q2 GDP figures support Kiwi higher for now. NZD/USD: positive global risk sentiment underpins commodity-complex. NZD/USD extended its gains following yesterday’s surprise GDP data, despite the results likely to be temporary. Analysts at ANZ yesterday explained that yesterday’s print was “boosted by temporary factors”, although, the “underlying strength in the print “will give
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China planning further import tariff cuts – Bloomberg

on 20 September 2018, in News
As reported by Bloomberg, China is planning to make further sweeping cuts to import tariffs in an effort to jump-start domestic spending. Key highlights As the US-China trade war steepens, China is taking a step in the opposite direction of the US, dropping border tariffs on imported goods and encouraging trade with other major partners,
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Key US data events reviewed – Nomura

on 20 September 2018, in News
Analysts at Nomura explained the key data results form the US economy and calendar overnight and offer their GDP tracker update. Key Quotes: “Initial jobless claims: Initial claims for the week ending on 15 September declined by 3k to 201k, marking the lowest reading since November 1969. The 4-week average continued to decline to 206k
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AUD/USD inching towards 0.73 heading into Friday

on 20 September 2018, in News
Broader markets are throwing down the USD, sending the AUD higher up the charts. This week has seen a notable lack of data from the Aussie side of things; US Markit PMIs to close out the week’s action. The AUD/USD is riding a wave of broad-market US Dollar selling as investors take a bold step further
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S&P500 Technical Analysis: Equities reach new all-time high – 2,950.00 can be the next bull target

on 20 September 2018, in News
The S&P500 Index printed a new record high this Thursday. The Index is trading well above its rising and widening 50, 100 and 200-day simple moving averages (DMA) while the RSI, MACD and Stochastics remain bullish. The next targets are seen near 2,938.00 and 2,950.00 (161.8% Fibonnacci extension (Aug-Sept, high/low).   S&P500 daily chart Spot
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South Korea Producer Price Index Growth: 0.5% (August) vs 0.4%

on 20 September 2018, in News
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USD/JPY bearish undertone allows for a test of 105.25 – UOB

on 21 March 2018, in News
In view of FX Strategists at UOB Group, there is still room for the pair to re-visit the 105.25 level in the next weeks. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “Expectation for USD to trade sideways yesterday was wrong as it rose to hit a high of 106.60. The up-move appears to be running ahead of itself
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Bank of Russia to trim its key rate in March – Rabobank

on 21 March 2018, in News
Analysts at Rabobank expect the Bank of Russia to lower the key rate by 25bps to 7.25% at its second monetary policy meeting this year scheduled on March 23. Key Quotes “With inflation at a record low and unlikely to accelerate sharply in the coming months, Russian policy makers led by Governor Nabiullina have room
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AUD: Under the hammer? – AmpGFX

on 21 March 2018, in News
Greg Gibbs, Analyst at Amplifying Global FX Capital, points out that the AUD has been one of the weaker currencies in recent sessions.  Key Quotes “We had thought that the AUD might come under pressure after the tariff news come out in early-March.  We thought as a major exporter of steel-making commodities to Asia, it
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EUR futures: further downside loses momentum

on 21 March 2018, in News
According to CME Group’s advanced figures for EUR futures markets, investors trimmed their open interest positions for the second session in a row on Tuesday, this time by just 794 contracts vs. Monday’s final 600,892 contracts. In the same line, volume dropped for the third session in a row by almost 54.6K contracts. EUR/USD a
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AUD/USD hits fresh YTD lows, FOMC decision in focus

on 21 March 2018, in News
   •  Resurgent US bond yields help offset USD weakness and prompt some fresh selling.     •  Weaker copper prices did little to lend any support and stall the downfall.    •  The Fed’s outlook for future interest rates should provide a fresh directional impetus. The AUD/USD pair struggled to build on early tepid recovery
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China plans countermeasures against US tariffs – WSJ

on 21 March 2018, in News
According to the WSJ report, citing people familiar with the matter, China is said to plan countermeasures against the US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs.  China is likely to target US agricultural exports of soybeans, sorghum and live hogs, but the plan could change based on what the Trump administration proposes. The headlines sparked concerns
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