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UK unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.3% in November – TDS

Analysts at TDS are looking for the UK unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.3% in November for the 5th month in a row. Key Quotes “If we’re correct, then this would actually be the first time since early 2013 that the UK has gone for such a long period without a fall in the unemployment

Global economy to expand 3.7% in 2018 – Reuters poll

The results of the latest Reuters poll on the global economic growth showed that a majority of the respondents see the global economy expanding by 3.7% in 2018. The poll covers the economies of more than 45 countries. Key Findings: October poll shows growth of 3.6%. 2019 growth forecast at 3.6%. October poll shows 2019

BoE: The rate hike window is closing – ING

Analysts at ING suggest that for the Bank of England, there are really two things that will matter most this year and the first is Brexit; the likely agreement-in-principle of a transition period by the end of the first quarter would be positive, averting the tail-risk of a “cliff edge”. Key Quotes “That still leaves

AUD to target 0.72 by end 2018 – Westpac

Bill Evans, Research Analyst at Westpac, points out that Westpac has revised its forecasts for the US Federal funds rate and the Australian dollar and they now expect three (from two) FED hikes in 2018 and have changed their target (end 2018) for the AUD from USD0.70 to USD 0.72. Key Quotes “Critically, we retain

Germany: Manufacturing PMI to print another cyclical high of 64.0 in January – TDS

Analysts at TDS suggest that with no clear reason to look for a reversal of the recent trends, they are looking for the German manufacturing PMI to print another cyclical high, from 63.3 to 64.0 in January. Key Quotes “It will be in line with the stronger global manufacturing survey that we’ve seen recently. For

JPY trading more like the EUR – AmpGFX

Equity investors are bullish on Japanese equities as they can see Japanese monetary policy easing at its peak, even if it may be some time before it sees any significant unwind in policy easing, suggests Greg Gibbs, Analyst at Amplifying Global FX Capital. Key Quotes “Traditionally, investors, including Japanese investors, used the JPY as a

EUR/NZD traders await ECB this week – ANZ

Analysts at ANZ explained that EUR/NZD await the ECB. Key Quotes: “European consumers and investors started 2018 on a cheery note. Now we await the ECB to see if it has changed its tune. We upgraded our near-term view on the EUR/USD to 1.30, driven by inflation dynamics, better economic growth and improving political developments.

ECB: Taming the hawks – ING

Analysts at ING suggest that ECB watchers this year might feel as though they’ve stepped onto the set of a movie combining the scripts of “Groundhog Day” and “Aladdin” as every time the ECB thinks it has bought some time, either macro developments or statements by ECB members undermine its plans and let the genie

Forex Today: US dollar meltdown continues, focus on UK jobs data

The American dollar finds no love despite oversold technical conditions and slipped to a three-year low below 90.00 levels in Asia. USD/JPY reportedly ran through stops on USD longs placed below 110.00, thus leading to a broad-based sell-off in the greenback. Also, USD bears are salivating at the idea of Sino-US trade row escalating to a

AUD/USD bulls regain control, comfortable above 0.80 handle

   •  USD selling remains unabated.     •  Aussie inches back closer to 4-month tops.    •  Move above 0.8030-40 zone to open room for additional gains. The AUD/USD pair was seen building on its momentum back above the key 0.80 psychological mark and has now reversed previous session’s retracement slide.  The pair on Tuesday came

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